The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail

Nate Silver's The Signal and the Noise is largely about which subjects best lend themselves to predictive data analysis (e.g., baseball and elections) and which do not (e.g., pandemics and earthquakes). The book also includes intro-level background on Bayesian statistics, chaos theory, and regression analysis that will be useful to general readers. But overall it too cursory and lacks the detail or analytical rigor of Silver's FiveThirtyEight website.